Industry Reports

Food & Agriculture | Q2 2025 | PCE Investment Bankers

Written by Michael Poole | Jul 14, 2025 6:00:23 PM

Executive Summary

M&A activity in the Food & Agriculture sector continued its downward trajectory in Q2 2025, with 394 closed transactions (LTM), down from 409 in Q2 2024 and 617 at its recent peak in 2021. Valuation multiples also declined, with the median TEV/EBITDA at 9.42x and TEV/Revenue at 1.38x, signaling investor caution amid margin pressures and a higher cost environment. Strategic buyers led the market, comprising 81% of deal activity, while financial buyers remained focused on niche and branded assets. Despite headwinds, select high-value deals highlight ongoing appetite for scaled, stable targets in branded, beverage, and protein categories.

Market Dynamics

Valuation pressures remained evident in Q2 2025 as buyers adapted to ongoing cost inflation and conservative lending conditions. Median TEV/EBITDA fell to 9.42x, while revenue multiples settled at 1.38x—down from 2.15x at the 2021 peak. Investors prioritized earnings quality over top-line growth, with premium valuations focused on assets with strong brands, operational scale, or critical roles in food production and distribution.

Buyer Landscape

Strategic Acquirers: Strategic buyers dominated Q2 2025 activity, comprising 89% of transactions (318 of 394). Key acquisitions included PepsiCo’s $1.95B purchase of VNGR Beverage and Global Eggs’ $1.1B acquisition of Hillandale Farms, highlighting interest in beverage and protein verticals.

Financial Buyers: Financial buyers accounted for 11% of deal volume, focusing on branded and growth-oriented assets. Notable investments included Savory Fund’s acquisition of Bonrue Bakery and KarpReilly’s backing of Rowdy Mermaid Kombucha.

 

Industry Comparison

The Food & Agriculture sector underperformed high-growth verticals like technology but remained more resilient than cyclical sectors such as retail and discretionary consumer goods. While global M&A volume is expected to decline modestly in 2025, food-related assets continue to attract steady demand due to their essential nature and defensive market positioning.

 

Geographic Expansion

Top U.S. States: California led with 58 transactions, followed by Illinois (23) and Texas (21), underscoring their concentration of food producers, processors, and innovation hubs.

Cross-Border Trends: Cross-border appetite remained strong, with global buyers—especially from Canada and Europe—continuing to target U.S. food and beverage assets for scale and market access.

Notable Transactions

Largest Transactions Closed

Target Buyer Value
VNGR Beverage LLC PepsiCo, Inc.  $1.95B
GetGo Café + Markets Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.  $1.60B
Hillandale Farms of Pa., Inc. Global Eggs S.à r.l. $1.10B
Chef Boyardee brand shelf-stable products line of Conagra Brands, Inc. Hometown Food Company $600M

Other Strategic Buyer Transactions Closed

Target Buyer Value
Echo Lake Foods, Inc. Cal-Maine Foods, Inc.  $258M
TH Foods, Inc. Kameda Seika Co.,Ltd.  $221M
Better Choice Company Inc. SRx Health Solutions Inc.  $97M
Insomnia Cookies, LLC Mistral Capital Management, LLC; Verlinvest Usa, Inc. $75M

Other Financial Buyer Transactions Closed

Target Buyer Value
Williams Distributors, LLC KDSA Investment Partners n/a
Bonrue Bakery Savory Fund n/a
Maple Donuts, Inc. SPC Management Co. Inc.; Partners Capital Investment Group, LLP; Constitution Capital Equity Partners LP n/a
Juanitas Foods Apex Investments Management US, LLC n/a

Source S&P Capital IQ as of 7/1/2025 and PCE Proprietary Data

Emerging Trends

Key trends shaping Food and Agriculture M&A:

  1. Investment in Niche Processors
    Mid-market acquirers are snapping up local, small-scale food processors—such as specialty milling plants and plant-protein extractors—driven by demand for regional distribution and culinary diversity.1
  2. Eco-Conscious Packaging Consolidations
    As sustainability and recyclability mandates tighten, acquirers are targeting firms in compostable and reduced-waste packaging. M&A activity is accelerating among packaging manufacturers aligned with evolving USDA/FDA requirements.2
  3. Food Production Sector Revival
    With projected farm income up ~26% YoY in 2025 and easing input costs, food production M&A accelerated, as both PE and strategic buyers pursued bolt‑on and scaling opportunities.3
  4. Tariff & Trade‑Driven Vertical Integration
    Rising tariffs and import volatility spurred deals aimed at reducing supply chain exposure—notably in grain, sugar, and inputs—prompting defensive acquisitions within domestic agri‑food players.3

Outlook for Next Quarter

Opportunities: Traceability and food safety software will draw considerable investor attention, especially among tier‑1 retailers enhancing ESG and regulatory transparency.4

Risks: Ongoing macro headwinds (tariff uncertainty, input cost spikes) may destabilize mid-market M&A momentum.5

Predicted Activity: Expect expanding roll-up strategies, focusing on regional dairy processors and high-protein/gut-health product lines (e.g., kefir, Greek yogurt), leveraging growth in consumer wellness trends.6

PCE Transactions

 

Contact Us

David Jasmund
Orlando Office
407-621-2111 |
Email me now

READ MORE →

Michael Poole
Orlando Office
407-621-2112 |
Email me now

READ MORE →

Will Stewart
Orlando Office
407-621-2124 |
Email me now

READ MORE →

 

Data Assumptions

This report represents transaction activity as mergers & acquisitions, consolidations, restructurings and spin-offs. Targets are defined as U.S. Based companies with either foreign or U.S. based buyers. Transaction information provided is based on closed dates only.

Glossary

EBIT - Earnings Before Interest and Taxes
EBITDA - Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, Amortization
LTM - Last Twelve Months
TEV - Total Enterprise Value

Sources:

  1. Carli, D., Bozzato, A., Graham, L. “Sector Snapshot: Private Equity Increasingly Hungry for Food and Beverage Industry Deals”, Bennett Jones, 20 May, 2025.
  2. Maynard, M. “This Is Every Trend and Change You Can Expect in Food Packaging This Year”, Food & Wine, 16 April, 2025.
  3. Jack, I. “Food Production Mergers & Acquisitions Update – March 2025”, Capstone Partners, 19 March, 2025.
  4. Daco, G., Berlin, M. “M&A outlook signals more subdued US deal market activity in 2025”, Ernst & Young, 21 April, 2025.
  5. Zakkour, M. “Key Mergers and Acquisitions Trends to Watch in 2025”, Sellside Group, 18 June, 2025.
  6. Schewitz, K. “Dairy is so back. It's now a high-protein, gut-healthy superfood shoppers love.”, Business Insider, 7 June, 2025.