Industry Reports

Power & Energy | Q4 2025 | PCE Investment Bankers

Written by Mike Rosendahl | Jan 14, 2026 3:50:20 PM

Executive Summary

M&A activity in the Power & Energy sector remained subdued in Q4 2025, with 236 transactions closed on an LTM basis, down from 335 in the prior year and well below the cycle peak of 509 deals in Q4 2021. Strategic buyers continued to dominate activity, accounting for 81% of transactions, while financial buyers represented 19%, reflecting an ongoing focus on consolidation and operational control. Despite lower volume, valuations remained firm, with median TEV/EBITDA at 10.64x and TEV/Revenue at 3.64x, up from 10.59x and 3.42x a year ago, underscoring continued competition for high-quality, contracted energy assets.1

“Power and utilities M&A continues to center on assets that can reliably support accelerating load growth, particularly from data centers and electrification,” said Michael Rosendahl, Managing Director at PCE. “Even as overall volume remains constrained, buyers are concentrating capital into fewer, strategically critical platforms tied to grid reliability and long-duration cash flows.”

Market Dynamics

Deal activity declined meaningfully year over year, extending a multi-year normalization trend from the 2021 peak. Elevated financing costs, regulatory complexity, and interconnection and equipment delays continued to temper transaction volume, while resilient valuation multiples reflect acquirer emphasis on assets with contracted cash flows, regulated exposure, and strategic relevance to grid reliability and energy transition.1

Buyer Landscape

Strategic Acquirers: Strategic buyers led the market with 81% of transactions, targeting assets tied to generation reliability, grid infrastructure, and long-term contracted revenue to secure critical capabilities.1

Financial Buyers: Financial buyers accounted for 19% of deals, remaining focused on stable cash-flowing assets, platform build-outs, and selective utility and infrastructure opportunities.1

 

Industry Comparison

Power and Utilities dealmaking in Q4 2025 was shaped less by broad volume and more by strategic consolidation tied to infrastructure demand, with buyers prioritizing scale and reliability to meet accelerating load growth. This positioned the sector as a relative bright spot within energy given the concentration of capital into fewer, larger utility and IPP transactions. 5

 

Geographic Expansion

Top U.S. States: Deal activity was concentrated in Texas (52 deals), followed by California (18) and New York (12), reflecting continued investment across power generation, grid modernization, and energy transition initiatives.1

Cross-Border Trends: While the majority of transactions remained domestic, international capital continued to play a selective role, highlighted by the $6.3B acquisition of ALLETE, Inc. by Canada Pension Plan Investment Board, underscoring ongoing foreign interest in U.S. regulated and contracted power assets.1 

Notable Transactions

Largest Transactions Closed

Target Buyer Value ($mm)
ALLETE, Inc. Canada Pension Plan Investment Board; Global Infrastructure Management, LLC $6,932.00
Guernsey Power Station LLC Talen Generation, LLC $2,330.00
Natural Gas Assets of Lotus Infrastructure Partners Vistra Operations Company LLC $1,900.00
Epic Crude Holdings, LP - Non-Operated Interest Plains All American Pipeline, L.P.; Plains GP Holdings, L.P. $1,793.00
Epic Crude Holdings, LP - Operated Interest Plains All American Pipeline, L.P.; Plains GP Holdings, L.P. $1,487.00
Moxie Freedom, LLC Talen Generation, LLC $1,456.00
TPC Engineering Holdings, LLC Amphenol Corporation $1,000.00
Bahia Natural Gas Liquids Pipeline Exxon Mobil Corporation $650.00
Basler Electric Company, LLC Littelfuse, Inc. $353.00
Unit Drilling Company Cactus Drilling Company, LLC $120.00

Other Financial Buyer Transactions Closed

Target Buyer Value ($mm)
Freeport Power Limited Fengate Capital Management Ltd. n/a
Linden Cogen Holdings, LLC EGCO Linden II, LLC n/a
Rowan Energy, Inc. Gladstone Investment Corporation ; Gladstone Management Corporation; Xyresic Holdings, LLC n/a
Central Midstream Partners, LLC Tailwater Capital LLC n/a
American PowerNet Management, L.P. Axpo U.S. LLC n/a

Other Strategic Buyer Transactions Closed

Target Buyer Value ($mm)
Hawaii Renewables LLC Alohi Renewable Energy, LLC $100.00
American Well Services, LLC Ranger Energy Services, Inc. $92.00
Maine Natural Gas Corporation Unitil Corporation $86.00
EVRedi Inc. Nayax Ltd. $26.00
Premium Oilfield Services, LLC Archer Limited $20.00

Source S&P Capital IQ as of 1/5/2026 and PCE Proprietary Data

Emerging Trends

Key trends shaping Power and Energy M&A:

  1. Load Growth Driven Consolidation
    Rising electrification and AI driven demand are pushing buyers toward dispatchable generation and high availability infrastructure near major load centers.5
  2. Grid Upgrade Investment Cycle
    Utilities are planning a multi-year step up in grid upgrades to expand transmission, storage, and reliability capacity, reinforcing demand for grid related services and infrastructure platforms.3
  3. Contracted Renewables and Infrastructure
    Capital Sponsors continue to favor long duration contracted cash flows, with infrastructure capital targeting renewable platforms backed by long term PPAs and embedded growth pipelines.2
  4. Tariff and Cost Risk Underwriting
    Deal underwriting is increasingly incorporating tariff and imported component cost risk that can delay projects or shift investment toward domestically sourced and conventional reliability assets.5
  5. Subsector Spotlight: Regulated Utilities
    Regulated utility consolidation is reemerging as companies seek scale, balance sheet strength, and operating resilience amid rising reliability requirements.5
  6. Data Center Adjacent Firm Power
    Firm, dispatchable power and grid interface assets are becoming focal points as data center electricity demand projections rise sharply and developers seek dependable supply.4

Outlook for Next Quarter

Opportunities: Continued data center expansion and electrification should sustain strategic demand for dispatchable generation, transmission buildouts, and reliability focused infrastructure.5

Risks: Overestimation of load forecasts and execution constraints around interconnection and equipment availability can pressure timelines and returns.4

Predicted Activity: Expect ongoing concentration of value into larger utility and IPP deals, portfolio rationalization, and continued infrastructure fund deployment into long duration yield assets.5

PCE Transactions

 

Contact Us

Michael Rosendahl
New York Office
201-444-6280 |
Email me now

READ MORE →

Joe Anto
New York Office
407-621-2141 |
Email me now

READ MORE →

Eric Zaleski
Chicago Office
847-239-2466 |
Email me now

READ MORE →

 

Data Assumptions

This report represents transaction activity as mergers & acquisitions, consolidations, restructurings and spin-offs. Targets are defined as U.S. Based companies with either foreign or U.S. based buyers. Transaction information provided is based on closed dates only.

Glossary

EBIT - Earnings Before Interest and Taxes
EBITDA - Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, Amortization
LTM - Last Twelve Months
TEV - Total Enterprise Value

Sources:

  1. CapIQ data (Transaction volume, buyer composition, valuation multiples, geographic distribution, and deal data).
  2. Ares Management buys stake in EDPR assets in about $2.9 billion deal, Reuters, 6 October, 2025.
  3. State Street Global Advisors. “From defensive to dynamic: Utilities enter a new era of growth,” SSGA, 26 November, 2025.
  4. Martucci, B. “U.S. data center power demand could reach 106 GW by 2035: Bloomberg NEF,” Utility Dive, 3 December, 2025.
  5. PwC. “Power and utilities: US Deals 2026 outlook,” PwC, 16 December, 2025.