Industry Trends
Largest Transactions Closed
- Target
- Buyer
- Value($mm)
Valuation appetite strengthened into Q1 2026, with 137 LTM transactions (50 in Q1) at median multiples of 18.87× TEV/EBITDA and 3.74× TEV/Revenue — the highest revenue multiple in the trailing four-year lookback. Buyers competed intensely for defense electronics, mission-critical manufacturing, space systems, and sustainment assets.¹ ³ ⁶
Commercial aerospace demand remained durable, driven by resilient passenger traffic, persistent OEM delivery backlogs, and aftermarket demand from extended fleet life. Key Q1 deals included CACI/ARKA Group, Blackstone/TriMas Aerospace, Intuitive Machines/Lanteris Space, and AeroVironment/Empirical Systems Aerospace.¹ ³ ¹³
Defense procurement urgency accelerated on FY2026 budget priorities — missiles, munitions, missile defense, shipbuilding, and nuclear modernization — while government contracting activity concentrated in larger prime vehicles. NDAA changes, CMMC requirements, and geopolitical tensions further reinforced elevated procurement demand across defense platforms.⁵ ⁶ ⁷ ⁸ ⁹ ¹⁰
“Budget uncertainty and continuing resolutions have introduced timing friction, but they have not diminished buyer conviction,” said David Jasmund, Managing Director. “Strategic buyers remain highly focused on aerospace and defense platforms that enhance execution certainty under constrained funding environments”
Deals: 50 in Q1 2026; LTM 137 (vs. 135 a year ago).
Valuations: LTM medians of 18.87× EBITDA / 3.74× revenue, expanding meaningfully versus Q1 2025 and representing the highest revenue multiple in the trailing four-year lookback.
Defense procurement urgency and commercial aerospace aftermarket demand drove sentiment in Q1. The administration’s FY2026 budget and direct pressure on defense firms to scale weapons production reinforced confidence for defense-exposed assets, while fuel-price volatility and persistent OEM delivery backlogs sustained aftermarket and MRO deal flow. Space emerged as a distinct strategic priority, with both commercial and government-backed buyers active.
Strategics continued to prioritize vertical integration (defense electronics, autonomous systems, propulsion, space payloads) and manufacturability; financial sponsors favored O&M-weighted and task-order-visible platforms with recompete certainty, underwriting cyber compliance and CMMC readiness as baseline diligence items.¹ ² ³ ⁶


Strategic Acquirers: 115 of 137 LTM deals (83.9%), plus 4 other/undisclosed (2.9%) — activity concentrated in defense electronics, space systems, autonomous/UAS platforms, MRO, and mission-critical manufacturing.
Financial Buyers: 18 of 137 LTM deals (13.1%) — focus on platform carve-outs, precision aerospace components, avionics/MRO, and defense services with durable cash flow and task-order recompete visibility.

Aerospace, Defense & Government Contracting dealmaking in Q1 2026 remained resilient following a 2025 that saw the sector sustain deal activity across 135 LTM transactions, even as broader U.S. M&A volume faced headwinds from elevated financing costs and macro uncertainty. Buyer conviction has intensified into 2026, with strategics and financial sponsors competing for mission-critical platforms as defense budget tailwinds, NDAA-driven procurement, and space sector expansion define the current deal environment.1 3 6
Top U.S. states by seller count (Q1 2026 LTM): California (22), Florida (15), New York (9), Texas (8), Maryland (7), Virginia (6), Oregon (6), Washington (5), Colorado (4), Connecticut (4).
Seller activity remained concentrated in states with dense aerospace manufacturing footprints, DoD installations, and cleared-labor ecosystems, consistent with buyer preference for established defense corridors. Notable Q1 activity in Maryland and New York reflected government services and defense electronics consolidation.

| Target | Buyer | Value ($mm) |
| ARKA Group, LP | CACI, Inc. - Federal | $2,600 |
| TriMas Aerospace | Blackstone Inc.; Takeoff Buyer, Inc. | $1,451 |
| Lanteris Space LLC | Intuitive Machines, Inc. | $669 |
| Harper Engineering Company LLC | Loar Holdings Inc. | $250 |
| Seemann Composites, Inc. | Karman Holdings Inc. | $220 |
| Empirical Systems Aerospace, Inc. | AeroVironment, Inc. | $200 |
| Star 26 Capital Inc. | T3 Defense Inc. | $95 |
| Hexagon Masterworks, Inc. | Space Exploration Technologies Corp. | $15 |
| Target | Buyer | Value ($mm) |
| Global Elite Group INC | H.I.G. Capital, LLC | n/a |
| United Electronics Company | Chimney Rock Equity Partners, LLC | n/a |
| Incodema3D LLC | AFM Capital Partners, Inc. | n/a |
| Safran passenger Innovations, LLC | Kingswood Capital Management, LP | n/a |
| Vivace International Corporation | Cerberus Capital Management, L.P. | n/a |
| Target | Buyer | Value ($mm) |
| Harry Kahn Associates, Inc. | Keen Labs, Inc. | $0.08 |
| Advanced Air of West Palm Beach, LLC | AIM MRO, LLC | n/a |
| Cubic Aerospace, LLC | Trident Systems Incorporated | n/a |
| Ultracor Inc. | Applied Aerospace and Defense | n/a |
| Orbion Space Technology, Inc. | York Space Systems, Inc. | n/a |
| Econostrip, Inc. | Aventure Aviation | n/a |
| Arctos LLC | DCS Corporation | n/a |
Source S&P Capital IQ as of 4/3/2026 and PCE Proprietary Data
Opportunities: Defense procurement momentum is accelerating, with missiles, munitions, missile defense, shipbuilding, and nuclear modernization as the highest-priority spending pockets. Commercial aerospace aftermarket and MRO remain structurally well-positioned as OEM delivery delays persist and airlines extend aircraft utilization. Space represents an increasingly active deal segment, with commercial entrants competing alongside legacy primes.1 3 5 6
Risks: Fuel-price volatility and macro uncertainty (tariffs, interest rates) may pressure aviation profitability and acquisition financing. CMMC compliance timelines create execution risk for smaller contractors. Procurement pattern unpredictability—faster, more commercial-first, but also choppier—may extend diligence and closing timelines.13 14 15
Expected Activity: Buyer interest remains concentrated in defense electronics, UAS/autonomy, space payloads, cleared-talent platforms, and mission-critical software with recurring sustainment exposure, further supported by heightened geopolitical tensions in the Middle East driving demand for missile defense, ISR, and munitions. Sponsors are targeting carve-outs and O&M-heavy assets with clear recompete visibility, while strategics continue to vertically integrate into proprietary components and capacity-constrained manufacturing.1 3 6
Served as advisor to Grant Aviation on their sale to Westward Partners
Served as advisor to Hop-A-Jet Worldwide Jet Charter as they became 100% ESOP owned
Served as advisor to Unique Electronics for senior debt refinancing
Served as advisor to Williams Electric Co., Inc. on their sale to Parsons
Served as advisor to Milcom Technologies for a fairness opinion
Served as advisor to Schwartz Electro-Optics, Inc. on their sale of Auto Sense to Osi Laserscan
David Jasmund |
Michael Rosendahl |
Eric Zaleski |
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Data Assumptions This report represents transaction activity as mergers & acquisitions, consolidations, restructurings and spin-offs. Targets are defined as U.S. Based companies with either foreign or U.S. based buyers. Transaction information provided is based on closed dates only. Glossary EBIT - Earnings Before Interest and Taxes Sources:
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Source S&P Capital IQ as of 1/17/2025 and PCE Proprietary Data
Advised Western Milling in their sale to the Western Milling ESOP Trust
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Data Assumptions This report represents transaction activity as mergers & acquisitions, consolidations, restructurings and spin-offs. Targets are defined as U.S. Based companies with either foreign or U.S. based buyers. Transaction information provided is based on closed dates only. Glossary EBIT - Earnings Before Interest and Taxes Sources:
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